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Flood Hazard Maps in Matucana Village Under Climate Change Scenarios : Volume 364, Issue 364 (16/09/2014)

By Cabrera Cabrera, J. W.

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Book Id: WPLBN0003983393
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 5
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Flood Hazard Maps in Matucana Village Under Climate Change Scenarios : Volume 364, Issue 364 (16/09/2014)  
Author: Cabrera Cabrera, J. W.
Volume: Vol. 364, Issue 364
Language: English
Subject: Science, Proceedings, International
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection (Contemporary), Copernicus GmbH
Historic
Publication Date:
2014
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications

Citation

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Castillo Navarro, L. F., & Cabrera Cabrera, J. W. (2014). Flood Hazard Maps in Matucana Village Under Climate Change Scenarios : Volume 364, Issue 364 (16/09/2014). Retrieved from http://www.ebooklibrary.org/


Description
Description: Facultad de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad Nacional de Ingeniería, Lima25, Peru. Possible effects of climate change on floods magnitude and effects are discussed in this document based on existing data and projected changes in precipitation until 2099. This methodology is applied to Matucana Village, which suffers the effects of floods and debris flows. First, historical peak precipitation, fitted to Gumbel distribution, was used, After that, percentage projected changes of precipitation were used to obtain the new mean precipitation to each period 2010–2039, 2040–2069 and 2070–2099; these mean precipitations define a new Gumbel distribution for every time period. Then, projected maximal precipitations to 100 years of return period are estimated and the corresponding peak flow hydrographs were built. Finally, hazard maps are plotted. This application is possible because Matucana is located in a climatologically homogeneous basin. The final results suggest an important increase in magnitude and affected area by floods in the next 90 years under the A1FI emission scenario.

Summary
Flood hazard maps in Matucana village under climate change scenarios


 

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