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Combining Bayesian Methods and Aircraft Observations to Constrain the Ho. + No2 Reaction Rate : Volume 11, Issue 8 (29/08/2011)

By Henderson, B. H.

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Book Id: WPLBN0003995577
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 41
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Combining Bayesian Methods and Aircraft Observations to Constrain the Ho. + No2 Reaction Rate : Volume 11, Issue 8 (29/08/2011)  
Author: Henderson, B. H.
Volume: Vol. 11, Issue 8
Language: English
Subject: Science, Atmospheric, Chemistry
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection, Copernicus GmbH
Publication Date:
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications


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T. Py, H. O., Cohen, R. C., Crooks, J., Pinder, R. W., Vizuete, W., Carlton, A. G., & Henderson, B. H. (2011). Combining Bayesian Methods and Aircraft Observations to Constrain the Ho. + No2 Reaction Rate : Volume 11, Issue 8 (29/08/2011). Retrieved from

Description: Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA. Tropospheric ozone is the third strongest greenhouse gas, and has the highest uncertainty in radiative forcing of the top five greenhouse gases. Throughout the troposphere, ozone is produced by radical oxidation of nitrogen oxides (NOx = NO + NO2). In the upper troposphere (8–10 km), current chemical transport models under-estimate nitrogen dioxide (NO2) observations. Improvements to simulated NOx emissions from lightning have increased NO2 predictions, but the predictions in the upper troposphere remain biased low. The upper troposphere has low temperatures (T < 250 K) that increase the uncertainty of many important chemical reaction rates. This study constrains uncertain reaction rates by combining model predictions with measurements from the Intercontinental Chemical Transport Experiment-North America observational campaign. The results show that the nitric acid formation rate, which is the dominant sink of NO2 and radicals, is currently over-estimated by 22 % in the upper troposphere. The results from this study suggest that the temperature sensitivity of nitric acid formation is lower than currently recommended. Since the formation of nitric acid removes nitrogen dioxide and radicals that drive the production of ozone, the revised reaction rate will affect ozone concentrations in upper troposphere impacting climate and air quality in the lower troposphere.

Combining Bayesian methods and aircraft observations to constrain the HO. + NO2 reaction rate

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