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Winter Precipitation and Cyclones in the Mediterranean Region: Future Climate Scenarios in a Regional Simulation : Volume 12, Issue 12 (16/11/2007)

By Lionello, P.

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Book Id: WPLBN0003998655
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 6
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Winter Precipitation and Cyclones in the Mediterranean Region: Future Climate Scenarios in a Regional Simulation : Volume 12, Issue 12 (16/11/2007)  
Author: Lionello, P.
Volume: Vol. 12, Issue 12
Language: English
Subject: Science, Advances, Geosciences
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection (Contemporary), Copernicus GmbH
Historic
Publication Date:
2007
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications

Citation

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Giorgi, F., & Lionello, P. (2007). Winter Precipitation and Cyclones in the Mediterranean Region: Future Climate Scenarios in a Regional Simulation : Volume 12, Issue 12 (16/11/2007). Retrieved from http://www.ebooklibrary.org/


Description
Description: University of Salento, Lecce, Italy. Future climate projections show higher/lower winter (Dec-Jan-Feb) precipitation in the northern/southern Mediterranean region than in present climate conditions. This paper analyzes the results of regional model simulations of the A2 and B2 scenarios, which confirm this opposite precipitation change and link it to the change of cyclone activity. The increase of the winter cyclone activity in future climate scenarios over western Europe is responsible for the larger precipitation at the northern coast of the basin, though the bulk of the change is located outside the Mediterranean region. The reduction of cyclone activity inside the Mediterranean region in future scenarios is responsible for the lower precipitation at the southern and eastern Mediterranean coast.

Summary
Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulation

Excerpt
Giorgi, F., Bi, X., and Pal, J S.: Mean, interannual variability and trends in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. Part I: Present day climate (1961–1990), Clim. Dyn., 22, 733–756 2004a.; Giorgi, F., Bi, X., and Pal, J. S.: Mean, interannual variability and trends in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. Part II: Future climate scenarios (2071–2100), Clim. Dyn., 23, 839–858, 2004b.; Giorgi, F. and Lionello P.: Climate Change projections for the Mediterranean region, Global Planet. Change, accepted, 2007.; Jansà, M. A., Genovès, A., Picornell, M. A., Campins, J., Riosalido, R., and Carretero, O.: Western Mediterranean cyclones and heavy rain. Part 2: Statistical approach, Meteorol. Appl., 8, 43–56, 2001.; Lionello, P., Dalan, F., and Elvini, E.: Cyclones in the Mediterranean Region: the present and the doubled CO2 climate scenarios, Clim. Res., 22, 147–159, 2002.; Lionello, P., Bhend, J., Buzzi, A., Della-Marta, P. M., Krichak, S., Jansá, A., Maheras, P., Sanna, A., Trigo, I. F., and Trigo, R.: Cyclones in the Mediterranean region: climatology and effects on the environment, in Mediterranean Climate Variability, edited by: Lionello, P., Malanotte-Rizzoli, P., and Boscolo, R. Elsevier, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 324–372, 2006.; Lionello, P., Boldrin, U., and Giorgi, F.: Future changes in cyclone climatology over Europe as inferred from a regional climate simulation, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0315-0, 2007.; New, M. G., Hulme, M., and Jones, P. D.: Representing twentieth century space time climate fields. Part II: Development of a 1901–1996 mean monthly terrestrial climatology, J. Climate, 13, 2217–2238, 2000.; Simmons, A. J. and Gibson, J. K.: The ERA-40 Project Plan, ERA-40 Project Report Series n 1, 2000.

 

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