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Climate Variability of the Mid- and High-latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere in Ensemble Simulations from 1500 to 2000 Ad : Volume 8, Issue 1 (29/02/2012)

By Wilmes, S. B.

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Book Id: WPLBN0004006421
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 18
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Climate Variability of the Mid- and High-latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere in Ensemble Simulations from 1500 to 2000 Ad : Volume 8, Issue 1 (29/02/2012)  
Author: Wilmes, S. B.
Volume: Vol. 8, Issue 1
Language: English
Subject: Science, Climate, Past
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection, Copernicus GmbH
Publication Date:
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications


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Wilmes, S. B., Stocker, T. F., & Raible, C. C. (2012). Climate Variability of the Mid- and High-latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere in Ensemble Simulations from 1500 to 2000 Ad : Volume 8, Issue 1 (29/02/2012). Retrieved from

Description: Climate and Environmental Physics, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland. To increase the sparse knowledge of long-term Southern Hemisphere (SH) climate variability, we assess an ensemble of 4 transient simulations over the last 500 yr performed with a state-of-the-art atmosphere ocean general circulation model. The model is forced with reconstructions of solar irradiance, greenhouse gas (GHG) and volcanic aerosol concentrations. A 1990 control simulation shows that the model is able to represent the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), and to some extent the South Pacific Dipole (SPD) and the Zonal Wave 3 (ZW3). During the past 500 yr we find that SPD and ZW3 variability remain stable, whereas SAM shows a significant shift towards its positive state during the 20th century. Regional temperatures over South America are strongly influenced by changing both GHG concentrations and volcanic eruptions, whereas precipitation shows no significant response to the varying external forcing. For temperature this stands in contrast to proxy records, suggesting that SH climate is dominated by internal variability rather than external forcing. The underlying dynamics of the temperature changes generally point to a combination of several modes, thus, hampering the possibilities of regional reconstructing the modes from proxy records. The linear imprint of the external forcing is as expected, i.e. a warming for increase in the combined solar and GHG forcing and a cooling after volcanic eruptions. Dynamically, only the increase in SAM with increased combined forcing is simulated.

Climate variability of the mid- and high-latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere in ensemble simulations from 1500 to 2000 AD

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